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Rather than marking a cyclical rebound, 2026 is significantly considered as a debt consolidation year, in which diversification-led development becomes more deeply embedded in the region's economic model, decreasing dependence on hydrocarbons and increasing strength to external shocks. Projections from major institutions broadly converge on a stronger GCC development profile in 2026 than in 2025, supported by durable domestic need, continued non-oil growth, and (to varying degrees) a firmer hydrocarbon contribution.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

3.2 percent growth in 2025, speeding up to 4.5 percent in 2026. Sees momentum improving, with GCC output growth predicted to rise from 1.7 percent in 2024 to 3.3 percent on average in 2025, reflecting a shift toward more positive general conditions.

The IMF's World Economic Outlook (October 2025) tasks worldwide growth relieving to 3.1 percent in 2026, with sophisticated economies around 1.5 percent and emerging market and establishing economies simply above 4 percent. On that comparison, a 4.44.5 percent GCC expansion would put the region materially ahead of the world average and slightly above (or broadly in line with) the emerging-market aggregate, reinforcing the GCC's status as a reasonably high-growth pocketprovided that regional risk conditions remain included and reform momentum holds.

Information from the GCC Statistical Center show that non-oil sectors currently represent more than 73 percent of overall GDP, a share that has actually continued to rise as federal governments broaden financial investment in services, facilities, and technology. According to Oxford Economics, non-energy activity across the GCC is projected to grow by around 4.1 percent in 2026, supported by strong labor markets, improving credit conditions, and increasing financial investment in technology and AI-related facilities.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

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Public-sector investment and reform stay main to sustaining this trend. Policy procedures focused on attracting foreign direct financial investment, relieving foreign ownership guidelines, broadening capital markets, and supporting private-sector involvement continue to underpin non-oil expansion and reduce the region's direct exposure to oil cost volatility. While hydrocarbons no longer dominate the growth outlook, oil profits are expected to play a supportive role in 2026.

Oxford Economics expects Brent crude costs to fall below USD 60 per barrel in early 2026, restricting the near-term contribution of oil extraction to GDP. Nevertheless, oil supply is forecast to increase again in the 2nd half of the year, with a full loosening up of remaining production caps likely by mid-2027.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Macroeconomic conditions throughout the GCC stay broadly encouraging of development. Inflation is expected to remain low, with the IMF forecasting typical inflation of 2 percent across the region in 2026. Stable costs are assisting maintain real family earnings and underpin customer spending, which Oxford Economics anticipates to grow by approximately 3.5 percent over 20262027.